Danish system

Dmitry Khlestkin

Contents

It is not fully understandable why this betting strategy was named after Denmark, but one could assume that the system was indeed founded in this country. Perhaps the author simply wanted to stay anonymous, and displayed patriotism instead.

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The way it works

Operating peculiarities of the Danish system strategy principle resemble those of the well-known Martingale strategy. But the stakes are not doubled every time in this case, but grow in an arithmetic progression, which is much safer for a punter’s bankroll. But at the same time, after each lost bet, a player must place a bet with higher odds.

Working with the bank

A punter’s bank is £1000. The game begins with placing a £10 bet on an event with 1.5 odds

  1. A £10 bet on an event with 1.5 odds – loss.
  2. A £20 bet on an event with 2.0 odds – loss.
  3. A £30 bet on an event with 2.5 odds – win (net income is £15).

With every win the process resets:

  1. A £10 bet on an event with 1.5 odds – loss.
  2. A £20 bet on an event with 2.0 odds – loss.
  3. A £30 bet on an event with 2.5 odds – loss.
  4. A £40 bet on an event with 3.0 odds – loss.
  5. A £50 bet on an event with 3.5 odds – loss.
  6. A £60 bet on an event with 4.0 odds – win (net income is £30)

And again:

  1. A £10 bet on an event with 1.5 odds – loss.
  2. A £20 bet on an event with 2.0 odds – loss.
  3. A £30 bet on an event with 2.5 odds – loss.
  4. A £40 bet on an event with 3.0 odds – loss.
  5. A £50 bet on an event with 3.5 odds – loss.
  6. A £60 bet on an event with 4.0 odds – loss.
  7. A £70 bet on an event with 4.5 odds – loss.
  8. A £80 bet on an event with 5.0 odds – loss.
  9. A £90 bet on an event with 5.5 odds – loss.
  10. A £100 bet on an event with 6.0 odds – win (net income is £50).

Even if the tenth bet loses, the player will still have four opportunities before his bank vanishes. This strategy stands 13 unsuccessful bets in a row, even though with very risky odds. A punter must carefully choose the bets with such odds, they should be least affected by the variance. Speaking about football, the best pick would be betting accumulators on favourites.

Betting on accumulators using the Danish system strategy

For example, a player needs to place his third bet with 2.5 odds.

For example, a bookmaker gives 1.6 odds on Chelsea’s away win against Cardiff; Bayern Munich’s away victory against Mainz will multiply your bet by 1.3; and Atletico Madrid’s home win against Granada is estimated at 1.2.
So, the final odds of the accumulator containing the three events would be about 2.5.

Total goals over/under bet as an alternative to an accumulator bet

It’s highly improbable to lose such accumulator bets 13 times in a row. However, an alternative to betting on the favourites could be betting on goals. A player could add to his accumulator such bets as total over 1.5 or total over 2.5 in the matches of high-scoring teams.

In this case a punter would need to make a thorough analysis of personal matches between the teams, as well as their results in the last matches.

You will have to look not only at the final scores, but at the statistics of goal attempts and scoring chances. If the teams played 2-2, but made only four shots on target, it would be rather overconfident to expect that they will score plenty of goals again.

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